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The gloom and doom merchants are still plying their trade –
retail stores announcing the Christmas trading figures ,
Eurozone in trouble and stark warnings from the Government.
But is it all gloom and doom – the start of the year for us
has been brisk – over 10 house sales have been agreed in the
first few weeks and we have agreed the sale of both a number
of commercial properties and sale of development land
already. So in our area maybe there is a glimmer of hope and
realisation from some that the time is right to do something
– or at least make a start.
In Stourbridge Town centre we have put two buildings on the
market in Lower High Street and High Street offering
extensive accommodation both retail/possible residential and
already we have seen a very encouraging level of interest
with possible investors or developers looking at how these
can be refurbished with the imminent start of the multi
million pounds Tesco development and hopefully improvement
of commercial and retail life of the Town.
Close by in Hagley land is at a premium and reportedly a
site being sold for housing development for some 15 or so
properties has received 17 offers – harkening back to the
good days. Deal not yet done but another sign of the
confidence coming back to the market – obviously in this
situation is very location dependant.
The RICS Quarterly Commercial Property report for Quarter 4
of 2011 says “The brightest situation remains in industrial
properties, with smaller light industrial units remaining
quite well let, although more price sensitive than hitherto,
and demands for rent frees on lease renewals. The take up on
offices remains problematic, with good deals for tenant’s
right across the board. Retail has remained quite well let,
but the omens for the New Year are not very good.”
It goes on to say “Its a very tough market, void rates,
increased car parking charges, and the general recession has
all but killed demand for town centre property. In rural
locations, there is still some demand, but it is sluggish.
Something needs to kick start the economy.”
The December 2011 RICS Housing Market Survey shows that
sales activity at the end of 2011 was a little stronger than
earlier in the year although it still remains at
historically low levels. This is broadly consistent with
official data on both mortgage approvals and actual
transactions. The average number of sales per surveyor (per
branch) in the final three months of 2011 was 15.2 which may
have been slightly down on the previous reading (of 15.4)
but was still higher than anything else recorded since the
Autumn of 2010.
A little more ominously, the sales expectations net balance
dropped to zero suggesting sentiment towards future levels
of activity may be turning slightly more cautious. For the
time being, however, the new buyer enquiries series remains
in positive territory, albeit only marginally, despite the
sheer weight of gloomy economic news. The net balance
reading of +2 (on a seasonally adjusted basis) does still
imply that the increase in interest in purchasing a property
over the autumn months has been sustained into the year end.
Despite the continuing economic downturn and reduction of
disposable income the level of new instructions and sales
remains constant.
Perhaps bricks and mortar are being seen as a safe asset.
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